growth rate of the economy in which it operates, the constant growth rate cannot be greater than the overall growth rate of the economy. 1 For growth, sector performance matters more than sector mix in both developing and developed countries Contribution to total value added, 19952005 Compound annual growth rate, % Growth. Future Competition: Mckinsey's Fastest Growing Competitors These companies are in the same general field as Mckinsey and are rapidly expanding. 72/7 ~ 10. 3.3. In making a judgment on what the limits on stable growth rate are, we have to consider the following questions. At the height of its success, the growth share matrix was used by about half of all Fortune 500 companies; today, it is still central in business school teachings on strategy. Conversely, when using it with negative growth rates, it will overestimate the compounded growth rate. We use cookies essential for this site to function well. 2. First, when using it with positive growth rates, it will underestimate the compounded growth rate. McKinsey & Company. Is the company constrained to operate as a domestic company or does it operate When you want to know in how many years will be X double given its growth rate of Y%. In this case, the shortcut gives us 25% versus 27% for the precise calculation. Logic: Rule of 72 says that you should divide 72 by the growth factor which would result the number of years the original value would double. The growth rate chart shows that no matter how high (or low) a company’s growth rate, over time growth has historically converged to about 5% on average. 2.1. McKinsey & Company | 6 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 1990 2000 10 20 30 40 50 60 2064 Employees in G19 and Nigeria, 1990–2064E Billion, at best activity and unemployment rates, 2007–12 The growth share matrix was created in 1968 by BCG’s founder, Bruce Henderson. Companies may grow organically or through acquisition. 2.2. BCG and McKinsey have both been growing at rapid rates exceeding 10% a year, which is impressive given the average growth rates of most developed economies are around 2-3% per year. Total growth. 1. Source: Valuation by McKinsey & Company. Josh Copp, Ruth De Backer, Colin Field-Eaton, Gerti Pellumbi. Little more than 10 years. Worldwide Big Data market revenues for software and services are projected to increase from $42B in 2018 to $103B in 2027, attaining a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.48% It was published in one of BCG’s short, provocative essays, called Perspectives. Global executives and investors must pay heed. As of 2019, McKinsey says they have 27,000 employees and BCG, almost 20,000. ... First, the earnings yield in medtech is attractive (contributing 35 to 40 percent of the TRS compound annual growth rate, or CAGR) because the sector would deliver healthy returns on investment capital even if it were not able to grow. Growth momentum (growth predicted by initial sector mix)1. In some cases apparently high growth rates may be caused by data that weren't available in … McKinsey & Company | 7 SECTOR GROWTH STRATEGY. Retail ecommerce sales compound annual growth rate forecast (CAGR), 2020–2024 Sourced from Statista While a post-COVID-19 world is expected to recover more slowly than it did after the 2008–2009 global financial crisis, ecommerce is the economic sweet spot as brands and consumers rush online. The rate of return on foreign investment is higher in Africa than in any other developing region. Example: In what years will 100 double given its 7% growth each year. United States. High. In most cases, this degree of precision should be sufficient.